To the surprise of most, consensus was readily reached on a truce at the recent tariff talks between China and the US in Geneva. For the time being, tariff rates have reverted to the levels prior to the so-called “Liberation Day”, though the international landscape can hardly return to its previous state. The US president Donald Trump has been manipulating “negotiation tactics”, with the asking price constantly fluctuating―now high, now low; now real, now fake.

Have you noticed how, historically, industrial revolutions across various nations mainly impacted low-income jobs? What’s different now is that the current wave in artificial intelligence seems different. AI not only automates entry-level positions but also has the potential to replace high-skilled, high-income roles. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), AI could affect up to 40% of global employment. That figure could be as high as 60% in developed economies like Hong Kong.

Hong Kong has long recorded successful performance in its four pillar industries, comprising trading and logistics, financial services, professional and producer services, and tourism. According to research by the Hong Kong SAR Government, they contributed close to 60% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and almost half of the total employment before COVID 19. However, all four of these pillars have experienced a decline in their respective areas as a result of the rapid changes in market needs and user behaviour, regional and global competition, the development of new value chains, the impact of advanced technologies, and changes in the

Released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in April 2025, the World Economic Outlook significantly lowered global economic growth forecast from 3.3% in January 2025 to 2.8%. The report identifies China and India as the main growth engines, with the two countries predicted to contribute 23% and over 15% respectively to global economic growth in the next five years. The estimated contribution from America, nevertheless, has been lowered to 11.3% in view of the uncertainties surrounding its tariff policy.

Will consumers pay more because of double tariffs from China due to the trade war? Prof. Heiwai Tang, Associate Dean of HKU Business School and Director of the Asia Global Institute, offered his perspective on how the trade war has placed foreign companies in China at the centre of a double-tariff squeeze. He was included in a Financial Times article on the broader implications for businesses and economies worldwide.

After seven years of negotiations, the world’s largest free trade agreement—the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)—officially took effect on January 1, 2022. Member countries account for nearly 30% of the world’s population and over one-third of global GDP. Amid the ongoing fragmentation of the global economy, RCEP is viewed with high expectations. This agreement brings together diverse countries in the Asia-Pacific region with varying scales and systems, showcasing the potential and resilience of regional inclusive cooperation. Three years into its implementation, what impact has RCEP had on the trade landscape of the Asia-Pacific region? How will it reshape the trading

In April 2025, global financial markets experienced an unprecedented credit crisis, with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury skyrocketing to 4.5%, marking the largest weekly increase since 2001. What are the reasons behind this crisis? Is the tariff policy of the Trump administration a catalyst for market turmoil? Will the U.S. Treasury market successfully navigate through this crisis?

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, some borrowers may use it to enhance their credit data in order to obtain loan approvals. Instead of approving borrowers through extensive data collection from multiple sources, lenders might consider self-imposing limits to focus on improving the quality of the data collected while also increasing loan profits.