The Off-field Battle over Sky-high World Cup Broadcasting Rights

The 2026 World Cup is set to kick off next month, and this quadrennial event will once again tug at the heartstrings of hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide. Co-hosted for the first time by the US, Canada, and Mexico, the tournament will see the number of matches increase by over 62% from 64 in…


Dr Tingting Fan

27 May 2026

The 2026 World Cup is set to kick off next month, and this quadrennial event will once again tug at the heartstrings of hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide. Co-hosted for the first time by the US, Canada, and Mexico, the tournament will see the number of matches increase by over 62% from 64 in the previous edition to 104 this time, while its duration will be extended from 29 to 40 days.

As the most-watched sporting event in the world, the World Cup’s media rights are among the most expensive globally. Revenue from global broadcasting rights for the entire 2026 World Cup cycle is approximately US$4 billion. This accounts for 30% of the target revenue of the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) for the 2023–2026 commercial cycle, and represents its largest single source of revenue.

Exceptional value of elite competition

The 2022 Qatar World Cup attracted 5 billion viewers worldwide. In other words, over half of the world’s population followed the same event during the same period. The final between Argentina and France alone captured the attention of 1.5 billion people, meaning that one in five people on Earth watched the match. Yet with tickets so hard to come by, only a very small number of spectators could watch the matches in person. The vast majority of football fans could only enjoy the games through TV or streaming platforms.

When millions upon millions of football fans are watching the same match, advertisers sense limitless business opportunities, various media outlets see a golden opportunity, and FIFA, as the supreme organizing authority, will certainly not pass up such an ideal way to generate revenue.

Broadcasting rights for the World Cup are usually granted to specific broadcasters for the transmission of matches in specified territories and periods. For example, in Hong Kong, the World Cup broadcasting rights have been sold to PCCW for US$25 million, with the group’s Now TV and ViuTV holding exclusive local broadcasting rights. Pay-TV operator Now TV will provide exclusive live coverage of all 104 matches, while the free-to-air broadcaster ViuTV will broadcast 25 selected matches free of charge, including the opening match and the final.

The commercial value pyramid

The high price of broadcasting rights is fundamentally determined by audience attention across different parts of the world. Notably, World Cup matches vary in their appeal. Among all the matches, only a very small number―the final and semi-finals―are capable of generating 30% of the core viewership, while less popular group-stage matches often attract less than 10% of viewers.

Given the enormous differences in audience numbers, advertising fees tied to ratings vary just as dramatically. The commercial value of each match naturally differs enormously. Even among group-stage matches, a match between weaker teams may be worth only US$10 million to US$20 million, whereas a match between stronger teams may be worth US$30 million to US$60 million. Once the tournament enters the knockout stage, the value of each match rises in a non-linear fashion. From the semi-finals to the final, the value can double, reaching as much as US$500 million.

With this in mind, the sky-high cost of the World Cup broadcasting rights can be likened to a pyramid. Of the 104 matches, the final and semi-finals contribute 60% of the commercial value. Matches between strong teams form the middle tier of the pyramid. Despite being group-stage matches, they nevertheless contribute 30% of the value. The bottom tier of the pyramid consists of numerous less popular group-stage matches, which contribute only about 10% of the value.

A profit strategy based on bundled sales

In light of the highly uneven commercial value of more than 100 matches, the best way to sell World Cup broadcasting rights is, of course, not to sell the rights to each match separately, but to package the broadcasting rights for all matches together as a bundle. In fact, FIFA’s bundling strategy for the sale of broadcasting rights is not limited to the Men’s World Cup, but also involves bundling it with less commercially valuable events under its umbrella, such as the Women’s World Cup, the U-20 World Cup, as well as the U-17 World Cup. For instance, the package of broadcasting rights FIFA sold to the China Media Group for Mainland China this year bundled the 2027 and 2030 Women’s World Cups together with the 2026 and 2030 Men’s World Cups. The broadcasting rights sold by FIFA for the German market include the 2026 Men’s World Cup, the 2027 Women’s World Cup, and the U-20 World Cup.

Broadcast fees as variable “seasonal prices”

World Cup broadcasting rights have never been priced uniformly; instead, they are priced individually by country or region. The listed price and the final transaction price of World Cup broadcasting rights often differ greatly. Take Mainland China, for example. FIFA initially  asked US$300 million for the market, but eventually concluded the deal at US$60 million, well below its target. In India’s case, FIFA’s initial asking price was approximately US$100 million, while the Indian side offered only around US$20 million. As of this article’s publication deadline, the two sides had yet to reach an agreement.

During the negotiation process, which side has greater bargaining power depends on a range of factors, including local interest in football, whether the national team is participating, the time difference between the host country and the local market, the size of the advertising market, the intensity of competition among local media outlets, and how much time left for the negotiations before the World Cup opens.

As one of this year’s host countries, the US will field its own team in the tournament. Local audiences will be relatively unaffected by time-zone differences, and the nation also boasts a huge and lucrative advertising market. Together, these factors explain why World Cup broadcasting rights on American soil have fetched the highest price, with the total contract value reaching approximately US$1.25 billion. By contrast, despite a large football market and a very passionate fan base in the Mainland, the Chinese national team failed to qualify for the World Cup. In addition, the time-zone difference will seriously affect audience numbers and advertisers’ bidding plans. The dominance of a single media outlet in the Mainland also means that competition among broadcasters is virtually non-existent.

With the World Cup drawing close, FIFA would rather cut its asking price than lose access to the enormous Chinese market. In India, another major Asian country, football’s popularity there pales in comparison with that of cricket, resulting in a smaller market and especially strong downward pressure from buyers.

When we watch players give their all on the pitch in front of the television, celebrate our favourite team’s victory in a bar, or replay World Cup highlights on our mobile phones, our undivided attention, full engagement, and even casual conversations after the match all help sustain the World Cup’s commercial empire, where broadcasting rights command astronomical prices.

Translation

足球盛事天價轉播權的場外博弈

2026年世界盃將在下月開波,四年一度的賽事又再牽動數以億計觀眾的心弦。本屆首次由美國、加拿大、墨西哥三國共同舉辦,賽事的場次從上屆64場增至104場,漲幅超過62%,時長也由29天延長到40天。

作為全球觀看人數最多的體育賽事,世界盃的媒體版權也是全球最貴之一。2026年世界盃整個周期的全球轉播權收入約為40億美元,佔國際足球協會(國際足協;英文簡稱FIFA)2023至2026年商業周期目標收入的30%,更是其最大的單一收入來源。

頂尖競技 價值非凡

2022年卡塔爾世界盃吸引了全球50億觀眾,換言之,世界超過一半人口在同一時段關注同一賽事。阿根廷對法國的決賽更吸引了15億人的眼球,亦即每5個人之中,就有1個人看了這場對決。然而門票難求,能置身現場觀賽的只是極少數,絕大多數球迷只能通過電視或串流媒體的廣播來欣賞比賽。

當千千萬萬球迷盯着同一比賽之際,廣告商嗅到無限商機,各種媒體看到大好時機,而最高主辦機構國際足協也絕不會放過此一絕佳的賺錢途徑。

世界盃的轉播權通常授予特定廣播機構,以在特定地區和時段播放賽事。以香港為例,世界盃的轉播權就以2500萬美元賣給電訊盈科,由該集團旗下的Now TV與ViuTV享有本地獨家播映權:收費電視Now TV將獨家全程直播總共104場賽事,而免費電視ViuTV則免費直播25場精選賽事,其中包括揭幕戰及決賽。

商業價值金字塔

轉播權費用不菲,關鍵在於遍布世界不同角落的觀眾注意力。須知世界盃各場賽事吸引力不一,全部賽事之中,僅有極少數(決賽和準決賽)足以產生30%觀眾的核心流量,而冷門小組賽所能吸引的觀眾往往不及10%。

由於觀眾人數差異巨大,取決於收視率的廣告費也別無二致,每場比賽的商業價值自然有天壤之別。即使同是小組賽,弱隊之間的比賽每場可能只值1000至2000萬美元,而強隊對壘每場則可值3000萬至6000萬美元。進入淘汰賽階段,每場比賽價值更以非線性方式上升,從準決賽到決賽,其價值可以翻倍至高達5億美元。

明乎此,世界盃天價轉播權可以比喻為一個金字塔。在104場賽事中,決賽和準決賽貢獻60%的商業價值;強隊之間的比賽是金字塔的中層,雖然都是小組賽,卻仍然得以貢獻30%的價值。金字塔底層包括多場冷門小組賽,其貢獻價值則只有10%。

打包推銷的盈利策略

既然百多場比賽的商業價值如此不平衡,世界盃轉播權的最佳銷售方式當然不會是每場比賽單獨出售,而是將所有比賽的轉播權作為一個整體打包賣出。事實上,國際足協銷售轉播權的打包策略也不限於男足世界盃,而與旗下女足世界盃、U20世界盃、U17世界盃等商業價值較低的賽事綑綁銷售。例如,今年國際足協給中國內地的轉播權,就將2027年和2030年的女足世界盃與2026年和2030年的男足世界盃一起打包,賣給了中國中央廣播電視總台。而國際足協給德國的轉播權,則包括2026年男足世界盃、2027年女足世界盃,以及U20世界盃。

轉播費猶如「海鮮價」

世界盃轉播權從來不是統一價格,而是按國家或地區逐一定價;世界盃轉播權的標價和最終成交價往往迥然不同。比如國際足協在中國內地最初要價3億美元,結果以6000萬美元成交,遠低於目標價格。又如印度,最初要價約1億美元,印度報價僅為約2000萬美元;截稿前雙方還沒有達成協議。

在討價還價的過程中,誰的議價權大,視乎一籃子因素,包括當地對足球的熱度、本國球隊有否參賽、賽事和當地的時差、廣告市場規模、當地媒體的競爭激烈程度,以及買賣雙方的談判距離世界盃開始時間的長短。

作為今年的東道主,美國自然派隊參賽,觀眾觀看賽事不大受制於時差,加上廣告市場規模大、價值高,所以世界盃在美國的轉播權賣得最貴,總合同約12.5億美元。反觀中國內地,雖然足球市場很大,球迷熱衷程度亦高,但中國隊沒能打進世界盃,賽事的時差嚴重影響觀眾的人數和廣告商的競價。再者,內地一家獨大的媒體,也讓媒體之間的競爭近乎零。

隨着世界盃開賽在即,國際足協寧願降價,也不願失去中國內地的龐大市場。另一亞洲大國印度,則因為觀眾對足球的追捧熱遠低於板球,導致市場規模小,買方壓價也就尤其嚴重。

當我們在電視機前欣賞球員在球場上施展渾身解數,在酒吧裡歡慶球隊勝利,又或在手機上重播世界盃的精彩時刻,我們極度專注、全程投入,以至茶餘飯後互相交流,統統成就了轉播權臻於天價的世界盃商業帝國。

范亭亭博士
港大經管學院市場學首席講師 

(本文同時於二零二六年五月二十七日載於《信報》「龍虎山下」專欄)