The Cost of Soaring Compute Capacity: the Boom and Hidden Risks of Data Centres

In recent years, a wave of artificial intelligence (AI) has swept the globe, and the popularization of generative AI has led to a sharp increase in demand for compute resources. Behind the impressive models and products, the infrastructure underpinning this technological revolution is an array of data centres located across the world.


Professor Shipeng Yan and 王筱晴

1 July 2026

In recent years, a wave of artificial intelligence (AI) has swept the globe, and the popularization of generative AI has led to a sharp increase in demand for compute resources. Behind the impressive models and products, the infrastructure underpinning this technological revolution is an array of data centres located across the world. These seemingly unremarkable facilities have in fact become not only a key pillar of the digital economy, but also a strategic asset in great-power rivalry.

At the same time, data centres’ enormous consumption of energy and resources has placed far-reaching pressure on the environment and society. As countries around the world race to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, its negative effects and developmental bottlenecks are also gradually emerging, warranting detailed analysis.

The lifeblood of the digital era

The core function of data centres is to provide society as a whole with data storage and compute services. Cloud-based work, online shopping, video streaming, or today’s much-discussed generative AI all depend on the compute resources provided by data centres. Clearly, without data centres, the digital economy could scarcely function.

It is precisely for this reason that global capital is flowing into this sector on an unprecedented scale. Investments by technology giants are now often measured in hundreds of billions of US dollars. In January 2025, OpenAI launched its Stargate project, with plans to invest US$500 billion over four years in the large-scale construction of AI infrastructure, in partnership with companies including Oracle, Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank (see Note 1). Meanwhile, China also plans to invest approximately RMB2 trillion over the next five years to build a nationwide, interconnected network of data centres (see Note 2). Whether undertaken by private enterprises or the public sector, the scale of this “compute arms race” is formidable.

For both China and the US, the importance of data centres and compute capacity has risen to the level of national strategy. Compute capacity is regarded as a strategic resource on a par with electricity and oil, with a direct bearing on competitive dominance in the AI era. In recent years, China has vigorously promoted its “Eastern Data and Western Computing” project, while the US has made concerted efforts to support domestic AI infrastructure. Data centres have effectively become the main battleground in a new round of technological competition.

Negative externalities on the rise

However, the rapid expansion of data centres is generating a series of negative externalities that cannot be ignored, foremost among them energy consumption. Data from the International Energy Agency show that global data-centre electricity consumption was approximately 460 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2022 and may exceed 1,000 TWh by 2026, almost equivalent to Japan’s total annual electricity consumption (see Note 3). In Ireland, where data centres are densely concentrated, their electricity consumption even accounts for more than 30% of the national total. Such enormous electricity demand has, to a certain extent, crowded out residential power use and driven up electricity prices, leaving the public to bear the cost for the expansion of data centres.

Water resources are also coming under tremendous pressure, as servers in data centres generate substantial amounts of heat during operation and require continuous cooling. Traditional evaporative cooling systems consume approximately 1,500 to 2,500 gallons of water per hour for every megawatt of heat removed (see Note 4).

Moreover, the air handling units, server rooms, and cooling fans in data centres can generate noise levels as high as 90 decibels, sufficient to cause hearing damage (see Note 5). The servers and cooling equipment inside data centres also create a “heat island effect”, increasing surrounding surface temperatures (see Note 6).

The health risks arising from air pollution are particularly concerning. Elon Musk’s xAI data centre in Memphis, Tennessee, USA, installed 35 gas turbines to address power shortages and is estimated to emit 1,200 to 2,000 tonnes of nitrogen oxides (NOx) each year. Such smog-forming pollutants have serious effects on local air quality and residents’ health (see Note 7).

The mounting burden of additional corporate costs

These negative externalities will ultimately translate into business operating costs and risks. When the expansion of data centres affects the vital interests of local communities, community friction can become a huge hidden cost. In various parts of the US, residents have filed class-action lawsuits against data centres over noise and pollution, while local opposition and protests have delayed the site selection and construction of some projects. In June 2026, Texas governor Greg Abbott called for stricter restrictions and regulatory controls on the rapidly expanding data-centre industry, along with the removal of certain tax incentives (see Note 8).

In fact, data-centre development itself faces multiple constraints. The first is a compute-capacity bottleneck. High-end graphics processing units (GPU) are central to AI training, but their production capacity is concentrated among a small number of manufacturers, making the undersupply problem difficult to reverse in the short term. The second is a power-supply bottleneck. The power density of AI data centres far exceeds that of traditional server rooms, while the capacity and transmission and distribution capabilities of existing power grids are clearly insufficient. This has left many projects with equipment in place but no power supply. The third is a cooling bottleneck. The greater the compute capacity, the more heat is generated; excessive temperatures can trigger chip throttling and limit performance. The industry is therefore swiftly shifting from traditional air-cooling technologies to next-generation cooling solutions such as liquid cooling and even immersion cooling, placing greater demands on data-centre infrastructure.

Operational strategies must adapt to the times

For AI innovation companies that build their own compute infrastructure and develop large models, including OpenAI, Google, and ByteDance, data centres themselves are core assets and competitive moats, and these companies directly face the dual pressures of legitimacy and cost. Such enterprises should elevate green compute capacity to the highest level of corporate governance. On the one hand, they should proactively secure stable and clean long-term power sources such as nuclear energy, while seeking to sign long-term power purchase agreements with renewable-energy producers in order to hedge against future electricity-price volatility and carbon regulation risks. On the other hand, they should increase R&D investment in technologies such as compute-capacity optimization and advanced cooling to safeguard their technological advantages. More importantly, companies must actively manage their relationships with local communities and regulators, securing legitimacy through transparent environmental disclosures and substantive compensation mechanisms.

The current explorations of AI innovation companies have already extended to the deep sea and outer space. The Shanghai Lingang undersea data centre is powered by offshore wind energy and uses deep seawater for natural cooling, thereby addressing both energy conservation and emissions reduction (see Note 9). SpaceX in the US is exploring the use of Starship to send data-centre equipment into orbit, powered by solar energy, with data transmitted via Starlink. China has also launched space computing satellites to test in-orbit processing capabilities (see Note 10). Although these explorations are still at an early stage, they constitute notable points of reference in corporate strategic planning.

For AI application companies built on existing models and focused on vertical use cases, compute is a cost rather than an asset. Their strategic focus should shift from owning compute capacity to using it efficiently. First, they should pursue efficiency in model selection and engineering design, avoiding paying for redundant compute through compliant model distillation, quantization, and precise invocation. Second, they should incorporate indicators including compute providers’ renewable-energy share and power usage effectiveness into procurement decisions, thereby compelling data centres to reduce emissions. Finally, they should closely monitor bottlenecks in compute supply and geopolitical risks, and reduce reliance on any single supplier through multi-cloud services.

Data centres are the cornerstone of digital civilization, and their importance is beyond doubt. However, the rapid growth of compute capacity is by no means cost-free. Negative externalities relating to energy use, water resources, noise, and air pollution are continuously accumulating as operational costs for data centres and hidden burdens for society. Only by taking environmental and community costs into account, and by actively exploring various green development pathways while enhancing compute resources, can data centres truly become a new force that supports the digital future rather than mortgaging it.

Note 1: https://openai.com/index/announcing-the-stargate-project/

Note 2: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-09/china-prepares-295-billion-plan-to-fund-nationwide-ai-buildout?embedded-checkout=true

Note 3: https://impact.hkubs.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/292074-Electricity2024-Analysisandforecastto2026.pdf

Note 4: https://www.ampacwatersystems.com/ai-data-centers-water-consumption-crisis-2026/

Note 5: https://www.environmentalhealthproject.org/post/the-dangers-of-data-centers

Note 6: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/30/climate/data-centers-are-having-an-underrported

Note 7: https://time.com/7308925/elon-musk-memphis-ai-data-center/

Note 8: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/10/us/texas-abbott-data-centers-regulation.html

Note 9:  https://www.news.cn/fortune/20260529/8de9d068e5fd46ef984fad9a1d9b9015/c.html

Note  10: https://www.news.cn/liangzi/20260603/5903c373ae314a32927258a971424f27/c.html

Translation

算力狂飆下的代價:數據中心的繁榮與隱憂

近年人工智能(AI)浪潮席捲全球,生成式AI的普及令算力需求急劇膨脹。在光鮮亮麗的模型與產品背後,支撐這場科技革命的基礎設施,就是遍布各地的數據中心。這些看來平平無奇的廠房,實則已成為數字經濟的關鍵支柱,亦是大國博弈的戰略籌碼。

另一方面,數據中心對能源與資源的巨大消耗,對環境和社會造成極為深遠的壓力。在全球爭相押注AI基礎設施之際,其負面效應與發展瓶頸亦逐步浮現,值得詳細分析。

數字時代的命脈

數據中心的核心功能,是為整個社會提供數據存儲與計算服務。無論是雲端辦公、網上購物、視頻串流,還是時下炙手可熱的生成式AI,皆依賴數據中心的算力支撐。顯而易見,沒有數據中心,數字經濟便寸步難行。

正因如此,全球資本正以前所未有的規模湧入這一領域。科技巨頭的投資手筆動輒以千億美元計:2025年1月,OpenAI成立「星際之門」(Stargate)項目,計劃在四年內投資5000億美元,與包括甲骨文、微軟、英偉達和軟銀在內的合作夥伴大規模興建AI基礎設施【註1】。與此同時,中國亦規劃在未來五年投入約2萬億元人民幣,建設全國互聯的數據中心網络【註2】。無論是來自私人企業還是公共部門,這場「算力軍備競賽」的規模都非同小可。

對中美兩國而言,數據中心與算力的重要性已上升至國家戰略層面。算力被視為與電力、石油同等重要的戰略資源,直接關乎AI時代的競爭主導權。中國近年大力推進「東數西算」工程,美國則傾力扶持本土AI基建,數據中心儼然成為新一輪科技競賽的主戰場。

負面界外效應持續趨升

然而,數據中心的迅猛擴張,正製造出一系列不容忽視的負面效應,首當其衝的便是能源。國際能源署的數據顯示,2022年全球數據中心的耗電量約為460太瓦時(TWh),到2026年或將突破1000太瓦時,幾乎相當於日本的全國用電量【註3】。在愛爾蘭數據中心密集的地區,其耗電量甚至佔全國總用電的3成以上。如此龐大的電力需求,在一定程度上擠佔了住戶用電,推高電價,令市民大眾為數據中心的擴張買單。

水資源同樣承受重壓,數據中心的伺服器運轉時產生大量熱量,需要持續冷卻。傳統的蒸發式冷卻系統,每排走1兆瓦熱量,每小時便要消耗約1500至2500加侖水【註4】。

此外,數據中心的空氣處理機組、伺服器機房和散熱風扇產生的噪音高達90分貝 ,足以損害聽力【註5】。中心內伺服器與冷卻設備又會形成「熱島效應」,增加四周的地表溫度【註6】。

空氣污染帶來的健康風險,尤其令人關注。馬斯克旗下xAI在田納西州孟菲斯市的數據中心,為解決供電不足引進了35台燃氣輪機,估計每年排放1200至2000噸氮氧化物,這類致霾物質對當地的空氣質量和居民健康產生嚴重影響【註7】。

企業額外成本壓頂

這些負面界外效應,最終都會轉化為企業的運營成本與風險。當數據中心的擴張觸及社區的切身利益,來自社區的摩擦會形成重大的隱性支出。在美國多地,居民因噪音與污染對數據中心提出集體訴訟,社區的抵制與抗議已延緩了若干項目的選址與建設。2026年6月,德克薩斯州州長阿博特(Greg Abbott)呼籲對快速擴張的數據中心行業,施加更嚴格的限制和管控,取消部分稅收優惠【註8】。

事實上,數據中心自身的發展亦面臨多重約束。一、算力供給瓶頸。高端圖像處理器(GPU)是AI訓練的核心,但其產能受限於少數廠商,供不應求的局面短期內難以扭轉。二、供電瓶頸。AI數據中心的用電密度遠超傳統機房,現有電網的容量與輸配能力顯然不足,以致不少項目「有機無電」。三、散熱瓶頸。算力愈強,發熱愈多,過高溫度會觸發芯片降頻、限制性能。業界正加速從傳統風冷技術轉向液冷(liquid cooling)乃至浸沒式冷卻等新一代散熱方案,對數據中心基礎設施的要求更高。

運營戰略須因時制宜

對於自建算力、研發大模型的AI創新公司(如OpenAI、谷歌、字節跳動)而言,數據中心本身就是核心資產與護城河,直接面臨合法性與成本的雙重壓力。這類企業應將綠色算力提升至公司管治的最高層級。一方面,主動鎖定核能等穩定而清潔的長期電源,尋求與可再生能源生產商簽訂長期購電協議,以對沖未來的電價波動與碳監管風險。另一方面,在算力優化與前沿散熱等技術上加大研發投入,守護技術優勢。更重要的是,公司須主動經營與當地社區及監管者的關係,以透明的環境資訊披露和切實的補償機制換取合法性。

AI創新企業目前的探索之旅,已拓展至深海與太空。上海臨港的海底數據中心項目以近海風電供能、深層海水自然冷卻,兼顧節能與減排【註9】。美國SpaceX探索以星艦將數據中心設備送入軌道,利用太陽能發電,並以星鏈傳輸數據。中國亦已發射太空計算衛星,以測試在軌處理能力【註10】。這些探索固然處於起步階段,同時構成企業戰略布局中不可忽視的參照基準。

至於基於現成模型之上、聚焦垂直場景的AI應用公司而言,算力是成本而非資產。這類企業的戰略重心,應從擁有算力轉為高效地使用算力。首先,在模型選擇與工程設計上追求效率,透過合規的模型蒸餾、量化與精準調用,避免為冗餘的算力買單。其次,在採購環節將算力供應商的綠電比例、電力使用效率等指標納入考量,倒逼數據中心進行減排。最後,密切關注算力供給的瓶頸與地緣政治風險,透過多雲(multi-cloud)服務分散對單一供應商的依賴。

數據中心是數字文明的基石,其重要性毋庸置疑。然而,算力高速躍升絕非毫無代價。能源、水資源、噪音、空氣污染等負面界外效應,正不斷累積為數據中心的運營成本與社會的隱性負擔。唯有將環境與社區的成本納入考量,在提升算力之餘,積極探索各類綠色發展路徑,數據中心方能真正成為支撐數字未來而非透支未來的生力軍。

註1:https://openai.com/index/announcing-the-stargate-project/

註2:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-09/china-prepares-295-billion-plan-to-fund-nationwide-ai-buildout?embedded-checkout=true

註3:

註4:https://www.ampacwatersystems.com/ai-data-centers-water-consumption-crisis-2026/

註5:https://www.environmentalhealthproject.org/post/the-dangers-of-data-centers

註6:https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/30/climate/data-centers-are-having-an-underrported

註7:https://time.com/7308925/elon-musk-memphis-ai-data-center/

註8:https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/10/us/texas-abbott-data-centers-regulation.html

註9:https://www.news.cn/fortune/20260529/8de9d068e5fd46ef984fad9a1d9b9015/c.html

註10:https://www.news.cn/liangzi/20260603/5903c373ae314a32927258a971424f27/c.html

王筱晴女士
香港科技大學博士生

顏示硼教授
港大經管學院管理及商業策略助理教授

(本文同時於二零二六年七月一日載於《信報》「龍虎山下」專欄)