Navigating Hong Kong’s Trade Digitalization: Three Essential KPIs

E-commerce sales in Hong Kong currently represent only 8% of total retail sales, significantly lower than in markets like mainland China, the UK, and South Korea. This suggests substantial growth potential for e-commerce and digital trade in the region. The city should seize future trade trends and focus on digitizing trade by achieving three KPIs:…


Professor Heiwai Tang and Ms Shuyi Long

30 October 2024

 

In the 2024 Policy Address recently announced by the Chief Executive, mention is made of the Government’s plan to boost investment in the development of the digital economy, particularly in the digitalization of trade. Concrete measures include expediting the establishment of the Trade Single Window and forming a working group within the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to study the creation of a digital trade ecosystem with a focus on talent and infrastructure.

Soon after its release, the Policy Address sparked wide discussion in the community. Besides repeatedly writing about launching trade digitalization in Hong Kong time and again, we have also advocated for this issue publicly. Not only is digital trade an emerging trend in trade but it also presents a golden opportunity for the city’s growth. Hence, apart from the prerequisite hardware for building the Trade Single Window, it is crucial to concentrate on the transformation of trade models and to be fully prepared for the development of digital services and cross-border e-commerce.

Paperless trade

One key aspect of digital trade is paperless trade, which involves digitalizing and automating all procedures during the trade process. This entails converting paper texts into digital files and changing from manual to electronic vetting processes so as to reduce costs in labour, resources, and time. The Trade Single Window  in the Policy Address is tantamount to digital customs administration. This platform streamlines the processing of imports and exports by integrating all procedures, covering customs clearances, declarations, document completion and submission, as well as fee payments into a unified digital interface.

Not a novel concept that emerged in recent years, the Trade Single Window has long been introduced in various countries and has already been widely used. According to the 2023 United Nations Global Survey on Digital and Sustainable Trade Facilitation, over 40 countries worldwide have fully implemented the Trade Single Window System, including developed nations in Europe, the US, and Japan as well as developing countries such as Peru, Thailand, and Brazil. Having launched the first two phases of the Trade Single Window, the Hong Kong SAR Government plans to complete the final phase by 2026.

In addition to customs, international trade encompasses many other aspects ranging from shipping and goods collection to loans and insurance, plenty of which still require paper documents. A 2022 report of the World Trade Organization (WTO) estimates that each cross-border trade transaction involves at least 240 copies of 36 documents. Digitalizing the submission, vetting, and handling of all these documents will not only save paper and protect the environment but also streamline processes, saving much time and manpower. While establishing the Trade Single Window, Hong Kong should hasten the digitalization of other departments associated with trade, including updating regulations on the legal status of electronic documents and enhancing the digital infrastructure for processing them, thereby enabling Hong Kong to handle a larger trade volume.

Electronic commerce

Progress in paperless trade can be regarded as pivotal to digital trade and even the broader digital economy. However, digital trade does not merely change the flow of traditional goods trade to electronic mode. The WTO and the World Bank classify digital trade into digitally ordered trade and digitally deliverable trade. The former is characterized by e-commerce while the latter comprises the bulk of financial, legal, and consultation services. Both types of digital trade have enormous potential in the Hong Kong market. Although still in its infancy, e-commerce in the SAR has ample room for growth. Given that imports and exports of services are one of Hong Kong’s strengths, the digitalization of services trade is sure to usher in greater opportunities for this thriving sector.

E-commerce has become a massive market with a global income exceeding US$4 trillion and is expected to maintain rapid expansion for at least another decade. Hong Kong’s e-commerce market has also undergone dramatic development in recent years. Government statistics show that e-commerce sales were valued at over HK$30 billion in 2023, with clear signs of continued growth momentum ahead. Readers may be aware from their daily experiences that businesses like Hong Kong’s Yoho and HKTV Mall, the Mainland’s Taobao and Jingdong, and Amazon from overseas have become an increasingly important part of our lives, whether through their online platforms or retail sales.

Yet the Hong Kong’s e-commerce market still offers tremendous opportunities for development. At present, this sector accounts for approximately 8% of the SAR’s total retail sales—a percentage that pales in comparison to developed e-commerce markets such as Mainland China, the UK, and South Korea (each standing above 25%) but is also lower compared to neighbouring countries such as Japan, Taiwan, and Singapore. This relatively low market share implies that consumption potential remains largely unexploited. Meanwhile, numerous enterprises and merchants will have the opportunity to get a slice of the e-commerce pie.

The local e-commerce market is now in urgent need of improvement in the following two areas. First, e-merchant facilities, e.g. logistics and internet platforms, are not up to par. Despite the availability of next-day delivery, same-day delivery, and even delivery by the hour in the Mainland, Japan, and South Korea, it can still take up to three days for orders to be delivered from Kowloon to Hong Kong Island. Consumers encountering problems with their purchases still have to undergo complicated procedures, ranging from after-sales service and communications to returns and refunds. These inconveniences only offset the biggest advantage of online platforms―efficient shopping. Ever in pursuit of efficiency, Hongkongers may find it more convenient to shop by going out to local stores or travelling north to Shenzhen.

Second, for businesses looking to develop e-commerce capabilities, the lack of the right skills is another problem. With an insufficient talent pool in e-commerce, hiring is difficult even for big companies, let alone small and medium enterprises (SMEs). A report released by FedEx in 2022 reveals that 60% of Hong Kong’s SMEs find it difficult to hire personnel with e-commerce skills. E-commerce differs from conventional retailing in terms of management, sales, operations, and promotion. Hence, to many merchants, e-commerce professionals are a prerequisite for developing this business. The Hong Kong SAR Government should drum up support for talent training programmes at local higher education institutions and companies so as to quickly expand the talent reserve, thereby giving a boost to the e-commerce sector.

Trade in services

Services trade delivered through digital channels largely comprises professional services, including finance, law, education, healthcare, and information technology. In 2023, the world’s digital services exports amounted to over US$4 trillion, with the US, Mainland China, Japan, and India being the largest exporters.

Hong Kong being the world’s most services-oriented economy, the city’s services sector contributes to over 90% of its GDP, 60% of which is made up of services delivered through digital channels. Last year, the sector’s total production value exceeded HK$2.5 trillion, with the financial sector alone contributing more than HK$550 billion. With competitive advantages such as diverse services, a sound legal and judicial system, and an abundance of professionals, Hong Kong is second to none among the large services exporters mentioned above. Nevertheless, the digital services export figures simply do not do justice to these obvious advantages. In 2023, Hong Kong’s total services exports were valued at HK$700 billion, with digital services exports accounting for merely HK$300 billion (approximately US$45 billion). In comparison, Singapore’s digital services exports in the same year were valued at US$180 billion, nearly five times those of Hong Kong.

In the digital trade era, the challenges facing Hong Kong in leveraging the services sector’s distinct advantages can be attributed to the following reasons. First, digital services exports have been hindered by the incomplete progress in paperless trade. So long as required procedures of customs, banks, and the Government remain to be fully digitalized, digital services exports cannot be conducted on a large scale. In addition, unlike trade in goods, trade in services is also subject to various restrictions governing internet safety, cross-border data flow, and cross-border electronic payments. Since these issues cannot be resolved unilaterally, Hong Kong must negotiate with its trading partners to reach a consensus, making digital trade-related agreements indispensable. In this year’s Policy Address, the Government pledges to insert relevant provisions on digital trade and cross-border data flow into bilateral and multilateral trade agreements.

Last but not least, all sectors rely on platforms and opportunities to break into overseas markets, and the services sector is no exception. While sizeable companies in the services sector can probably explore export prospects on their own, SMEs are bound to stumble upon formidable challenges in following suit. They need the Government to provide them with information and connections, much like those offered for trade shows and exchange activities. The Government should consider taking similar measures to facilitate overseas visits and exchanges between companies in the services sector with foreign businesses. In addition, Government offices can be set up in Hong Kong’s major trading partner countries to help local enterprises to develop overseas markets. These initiatives would benefit the thriving services sector, propelling it to new heights.

Translation
前段時間,特首發布2024年《施政報告》,其中一章提到未來政府將會投入更多發展數字經濟,尤其是貿易數字化。具體措施包括會加快建成貿易單一窗口、及在金管局內部成立工作小組研究從人才和基礎建設方面如何建成香港的數字貿易生態圈。

《施政報告》一經發布,便引起坊間的廣泛討論。筆者曾經多次在文章中及坊間倡議發展香港貿易數字化。數字貿易不但是未來貿易的趨向,更是香港發展的大好機會。因此,除去投入貿易單一窗口等硬件建設的準備,香港更應重視貿易模式的轉型,對數字服務業及跨境電子商貿的貿易發展做好充足的準備。
無紙化貿易

數字貿易其中一個重點是無紙化貿易,通過將貿易過程中所涉及的所有步驟電子化、自動化,包括將紙本文檔變成數字文檔,人力審核的步驟變成電子審核,從而降低人力,物力和時間的成本。《施政報告》中提及的貿易單一窗口(Trade Single Window)相當於數字化的海關。將貿易需要的各項手續,包括報關,填寫或提交文件以及繳費等集成于一個單一的數字平台,以簡化進出口的手續。

貿易單一窗口並不是近年才出現的新概念。貿易單一窗口已於很多國家存在多時,並且已經投入廣泛應用。聯合國數字及可持續貿易調查報告顯示,截至2023年,全球已有超過40個國家建成了完整的貿易單一窗口。其中既有歐美、日本等發達國家,也有秘魯、泰國及巴西等發展中國家。目前香港貿易單一窗口前兩個階段的建設已經結束,政府計劃2026年將會完成最後一個階段的建設。

除海關以外,國際貿易還包括發貨,取貨,貸款,保險等很多環節。目前仍然有很多環節當中必須使用紙本文件。世界貿易組織(WTO)2022年的一份報告估計,每一筆跨境貿易涉及至少36份文件的240份副本。若然可以將所有文件的提交、審核和處理全部電子化,不但可以節省紙張,保護環境,更會簡化程序,節省很多時間和人力。香港在發展貿易單一窗口的同時,也應該盡快完善其他貿易相關部門的電子化,包括更新關於電子文檔法律效力的條例,及處理電子文檔的數碼基建,令香港有能力處理更大的貿易量。
電子商務

無紙化可謂是數字貿易乃至數字經濟的基礎,但數字貿易不止是將傳統貨物貿易流程電子化。WTO及世界銀行將數字貿易分成兩大類別:通過數字渠道購買的貿易(digitally ordered trade)以及可以通過數字渠道交付的貿易(digitally deliverable trade)。前者的主要代表就是電子商貿,而後者則包括金融、法律、諮詢等大部分服務。香港市場對兩種數字貿易都有很大的潛力,電子商務在香港仍然處於初步發展階段,仍然有很多機會有待開發。而服務業進出口更是香港的長處,將服務貿易數字化必定可以為香港繁榮的服務業帶來更大的機遇。

電子商務已經是一個全球收入超過四萬億美元的巨大市場,且預計至少在下一個十年將會持續快速增長。香港近年的電商市場也正在迅速發展。據政府統計,2023年全港電子商務銷售額已超過300億港元,而且有明顯的繼續上升的勢頭。相信讀者在日常生活中也有直觀感受,無論是本土的友和、HKTV Mall、或是大陸的淘寶及京東,甚至海外的亞馬遜,在網上平台或者銷售,已經成為我們生活中愈來愈重要的一部分。

香港的電商市場仍然有很大的發展空間。目前電子商務銷售約佔全港零售額的8%,不單遠低於電商發達的市場如中國大陸、英國及韓國(三者均超過25%),也低於亞洲鄰近地區如日本、中國台灣、新加坡等。目前較低的市場佔比意味着還有很多可以發掘的消費潛力未有得到開發,同時也意味着還有很多企業及商戶有機會從電子商務中分一杯羹。

目前香港的電子商務市場有兩個亟需改善的方面。首先物流配送及網絡平台等電商相關的硬件建設不夠完善。當大陸、日韓已經可以做到隔日送達、當天送達甚至配送速度按小時計算的時候,一個從九龍到港島的訂單可能也需要三日才能送達。而當消費者在購物後遇到問題,從售後服務和溝通到退貨退款等步驟也都相當繁瑣,種種不便之處令網上購物失去了便捷性這個最大的優點。對於追求效率的香港人而言,可能直接出門購買甚至北上深圳購物的效率更高。

另外,對於有意發展電子商務的商戶而言,沒有合適的人才也是難題之一。香港本土電商領域的人才不足,大企業招聘尚且不易,中小企業更是難上加難。Fedex 2022發布的報告表明,香港有60%的中小企業表示難以招聘到具有電商相關技能的人才。電商在管理、銷售、營運推廣等方面與傳統零售有所不同,因此對於很多商戶而言,專業的電商人才是發展電子商務必不可少的因素。香港政府應該加大對本地院校或企業的人才培訓計劃的支持,盡快提升人才儲備以助力本港的電子商貿行業。
服務貿易

服務貿易中可以通過數字渠道交付的有很大部分屬於專業服務,包括金融、法律、教育、醫療、和資訊科技等。2023年全球數字服務出口量已經超過4萬億美元,其中美國、中國大陸、日本及印度是最大的服務出口地。

香港是全球服務業主導程度最高的地區,服務業對GDP的貢獻超過九成,其中有超過60%是可以通過數字渠道交付的服務。去年全港服務業生產總值超過2.5萬億港元,單是金融一個行業也超過5500億。若然要談論競爭優勢,香港有多元的服務、完善的法規制度、及充足的專業人才,完全不輸上述幾個服務出口的大國。然而實際上的香港的數字服務出口,完全沒有體現這些顯而易見的優勢。2023年,香港所有服務的出口值僅有7000億港元,其中數字服務出口更是僅有3000億港元(約450億美元),而同期新加坡的數字服務出口則接近香港的五倍(1800億美元)。

在數字貿易時代,香港未能發揮服務業的巨大優勢,有以下幾個原因。數字服務出口首先受制於香港尚未完成的貿易無紙化進程。海關、銀行及政府所需的各項手續若未能完全數字化,數字服務出口自然就無法大規模進行。此外,與貨物貿易不同,服務貿易還受到網絡安全、跨境數據傳輸以及跨境電子支付的多種限制。這些問題無法單方面解決,而需要香港與貿易夥伴協商後決定,因此與數字貿易相關的貿易協議不可缺少。在今年的《施政報告》中,政府也已經承諾將在磋商雙邊及多邊貿易協議時加入數字貿易和跨境數據流通相關條款。

最後,所有行業要發展海外市場都需要平台和機會,服務業也不例外。服務業當中的大型企業出口或許可以自己探路,但是中型甚至小型企業若只能靠自己探索海外市場則會困難重重。這些企業需要政府的幫助,為他們提供資訊以及搭橋牽線。正如商品貿易的各種展覽、交流活動。政府不妨考慮採取類似的措施,為服務業界提供外出考察及與海外商家交流的機會,或在香港主要貿易夥伴地區設立辦公室,為服務業提供幫助,令更多服務業的企業有機會拓展海外的市場,從而使香港本已蓬勃的服務業更上一層樓。

 

鄧希煒教授
港大經管學院副院長(對外事務)、馮國經馮國綸基金經濟學教授

龍淑儀女士
為亞洲環球研究所研究員

(本文同時於二零二四年十月三十日載於《信報》「龍虎山下」專欄)