Submarine Cables – The Silk Road of the Digital Economy

[Financial Times Chinese column] Submarine cables carry approximately 99% of the global intercontinental data flow, making them crucial for the development of digital economy. The Chinese government has emphasized the need to accelerate digital infrastructure development in its “14th Five-Year Plan,” promoting the “Digital Silk Road.”


Many countries are seeing a spike in demand for data transmission and submarine cables. These are a critical part in advancing digital economic development. Compared to Singapore’s 26 submarine cable systems, Hong Kong only has 12. Professor Yulin Fang and Dr. Shiqin Chen suggest that Hong Kong must catch-up in order to stay globally competitive.

Submarine cables are the cables laid on the seabed for transmitting data and telecommunication signals. These cables have become the “digital arteries” of global communications, carrying approximately 99% of the world’s intercontinental data traffic (Note 1).

It would be impossible to talk about the development and widespread application of submarine cables without mentioning Nobel physicist Charles Kuen Kao, who also served as the third Vice-Chancellor at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Kao is widely regarded as the “Father of Fibre Optics” for his technological breakthrough in fibre optics. His research laid the foundation for highly efficient data transmission in modern submarine cables.

Fibre-optic communications technology enables submarine cables to transmit vast amounts of data, enhancing both speed and stability. The undersea cables also deliver far greater transmission distances than conventional ones. These submarine cables can transmit data across continents with extremely low loss, protecting communication and trade between different nations.

In the wave of global informatisation, there is heightened demand for transnational communications. Different countries have sharply increased their need for high-speed and stable data transmissions, further demonstrating the soaring importance of submarine cables.

With the rapid development of digital technologies such as 5G, data centres, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, and blockchain, submarine cables have become pivotal infrastructure in supporting these emerging technologies. These undersea cables provide a physical path for data transmission for an efficient integration of global computing resources. Not only do they ensure that global information flows smoothly, submarine cables also provide a solid network foundation for the world economy, cross-border trade, financial services and innovative technologies.

By connecting data centres around the world, submarine cables have become an indispensable support system for the extensive coverage of 5G networks, global deployment of AI computing power, and the distributed system that supports blockchain technology.

The Chinese government attaches great importance to the development of the digital economy. Its “14th Five-Year Plan” clearly states the need to ramp up digital infrastructure construction and intensively promote a “Digital Silk Road” (Note 2). In China’s digital economic development strategy, Hong Kong remains a key hub due to its unique geographical location, open market, and leading positions in international finance, trade, and technological innovation.

Hong Kong not only serves as a gateway for finance and trade between Mainland China and the world, but also a crucial node in global data flows. That, coupled with its international business environment and advanced telecommunication infrastructure, Hong Kong is therefore an incredibly attractive site for building global data centres.

Hong Kong currently is home to around 60 data centres, putting the city in a prominent position in the world (Note 3). When it comes to submarine cables, however, there is a considerable gap between Hong Kong and competitors like Singapore. Up until June 2024, Hong Kong had 12 submarine cable systems (Note 4), whereas Singapore had 26.

In fact, back in 2023, Singapore announced plans to double its capacity for international subsea cable landings within the next decade (Note 5). According to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, it forecasted that by 2030, the demand for international bandwidth will reach 26,081Tbps. This shows an explosive growth in data transmission capacity in the coming ten years (Note 1). In anticipation of this, Hong Kong must build more submarine cables to increase its international bandwidth capacity. Only then can it satisfy China’s global promotion of its digital economy.

By strengthening international network connectivity, Hong Kong can support China’s digital economy for going global, as well as provide more efficient data transmission services to countries and regions along the “Belt and Road Initiative.”

Also, as a critical node for international communications, Hong Kong’s submarine cable systems can assist China in fortifying its strategic position in global information and communication. In addition, a stable and reliable submarine cable system can protect cross-border financial transactions. Ensuring real-time nature of data is especially important in high-frequency trading and supporting international financial markets. The construction of subsea cables can improve Hong Kong’s appeal to more multinational corporations so they will see Asia as a strategic data centre hub. That, in turn, will enhance Hong Kong’s competitiveness.

Hong Kong faces multiple challenges in building and developing submarine cables. First of all, constructing undersea cables involves complex international licences and applications. This often requires coordination from a number of countries and may involve geopolitical issues.

With escalating China-U.S. competition, Hong Kong’s submarine cable projects could face sanctions and restrictions from Western countries. In 2020, the United States denied an application on Hong Kong’s undersea cable connection on the Pacific Light Cable Network, citing national security concerns (Note 6). With growing threats to global network safety, how to manage submarine cable security has become a pressing challenge.  Protecting submarine cables from natural disasters, cyber-attacks, or malicious human interference is now the primary task in safeguarding data security (Note 1).

In the face of competition and challenges, Hong Kong needs to optimise the approval process of submarine cable construction, shorten the licencing cycle, and strengthen cooperation with the Mainland Chinese government and overseas administrations. At the same time, Hong Kong should draw on Singapore’s experience, improve laws and regulations on protecting submarine cables, and ensure the systems’ safety and reliability. Additionally, the creation of an open, inclusive, fair and mutually beneficial environment is necessary for the submarine cable industry to flourish. Through bolstering the construction of infrastructure such as submarine cables, Hong Kong is expected to continue playing central roles as an international financial hub and a technology innovation centre in the digital economy era.

Note 1:”Global Undersea Optical Cable Industry Development Research Report (2023)”, China Academy of Information and Communications Technology https://gdtx.oss-cn-shanghai.aliyuncs.com/gehongkai/PDF/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E4%BF%A1%E6%81%AF%E9%80%9A%E4%BF%A1%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E9%99%A2%E3%80%8A%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E6%B5%B7%E5%BA%95%E5%85%89%E7%BC%86%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E6%8A%A5%E5%91%8A(2023%E5%B9%B4)%E3%80%8B.pdf

Note 2:https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2022-01/12/content_5667817.htm

Note 3:https://app7.legco.gov.hk/rpdb/tc/uploads/2023/ISSH/ISSH07_2023_20230525_tc.pdf

Note 4:https://www.ofca.gov.hk/tc/industry_focus/infrastructures/submarine_cables/index.html

Note 5:https://cil.nus.edu.sg/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/PR240521_Enhancing-the-Security-of-Singapores-Submaring-Cables.pdf
Note 6:http://www.iiss.pku.edu.cn/fj/PDF/ciss_cn/upload/docs/2020-11-02/doc_6001604291129.pdf

Prof. Yulin FANG
Professor of Innovation and Information Management
Director of the Institute of Digital Economy and Innovation (IDEI), HKU Business School

Dr. Shiqin CHEN
Research Associate, The HKU-Shenzhen Institute of Research and Innovation (HKU-SIRI)

This article was also published on October 30, 2024 on the Financial Times’ Chinese website

Translation

海底電纜:數字經濟的絲綢之路


方鈺麟教授、陳詩沁博士:各國對數據傳輸需求急增,海底電纜是推動數字經濟發展重要一環。相比新加坡的26個海纜系統,香港只有12個,必須急追才能提升國際競爭力。

海底電纜,即鋪設在海底用于傳輸數據和電信信號的電纜,已經成爲全球通信的“數字動脉”,承載著全球約99%的洲際數據流量【注 1】。海纜的發展與廣泛應用,離不開香港中文大學第三任校長、諾貝爾物理學獎得主高錕教授在光纖技術上的突破性貢獻。高錕被譽爲“光纖之父”,其光纖技術的研究成果奠定了現代海底電纜高效數據傳輸的基礎。光纖通信技術使海纜具備了承載海量數據的能力,幷極大提升了傳輸速度和穩定性,傳輸距離亦遠超傳統電纜。光纖海纜的應用讓數據可以在極低損耗的情况下跨越洲際,保障各國之間交流溝通和貿易往來。在全球信息化浪潮中,跨國通信需求迅速擴大,各國對高速、穩定的數據傳輸需求急劇增加,海纜的重要性更是日益凸顯。

隨著5G、數據中心、雲計算、人工智能、物聯網和區塊鏈等數字技術的快速發展,海纜成爲支撑這些新興技術的關鍵基礎設施。海纜提供了數據傳輸的物理路徑,使全球計算資源得以高效整合。海纜不僅確保了全球信息的暢通流動,還爲全球經濟、跨境貿易、金融服務和科技創新提供了堅實的網絡基礎。通過連接世界各地的數據中心,海底電纜爲5G網絡的廣泛覆蓋、AI算力的全球部署以及區塊鏈技術的分布式架構提供了不可或缺的支撑。

中國政府高度重視數字經濟發展,在“十四五”規劃中明確提出要加快建設數字基礎設施,推動“數字絲綢之路”深入發展【注 2】。在中國的數字經濟發展戰略中,香港作爲國際金融、貿易和科創中心,憑藉其獨特的地理位置和高度開放的市場,處于重要的樞紐地位。香港不僅是中國內地與全球金融和貿易往來的門戶,也是全球數據流動的重要節點,加上國際化的商業環境和發達的電信基礎設施,對全球數據中心的建設極具吸引力。

香港目前擁有約60個數據中心,在全球處于領先地位【注 3】。然而,香港在海纜的建設上跟新加坡等競爭對手存在一定差距。截至2024年6月,香港共有12個海纜系統【注 4】,而新加坡已有26個,幷且在2023年宣布計劃在未來十年內將其國際海底電纜的登陸容量翻倍【注 5】。中國信息通信研究院預測,到2030年全球國際帶寬需求將達到26081Tbps,意味未來十年內,數據傳輸容量將呈現爆炸式增長【注 1】。爲了應對這一趨勢,香港必須通過建設更多的海底電纜,提高國際帶寬的承載能力,以滿足中國數字經濟走向全球的需求。

通過加强與全球的網絡連接,香港不僅能支持中國數字經濟的國際化擴展,還能爲“一帶一路”沿綫國家和地區提供更高效的數據傳輸服務。作爲重要的國際通信節點,香港的海纜系統將幫助中國鞏固全球信息通信領域的戰略地位。此外,穩定可靠的海纜網絡也爲跨境金融交易提供保障,尤其在高頻交易和國際金融市場中,確保數據的實時性至關重要。海纜的建設使香港能够吸引更多跨國企業,視其爲亞洲地區的戰略數據中心樞紐,從而提升香港的國際競爭力。

香港在海纜的建設和發展中還面臨著諸多挑戰。首先,海纜的建設涉及複雜的國際許可和審批,需與多個國家進行協調,或觸及地緣政治問題。隨著中美競爭加劇,香港的海纜項目可能會受到西方國家的制裁與限制。在2020年,美國以國家安全風險爲由,否决了“太平洋海底光纜”項目中與香港連接的申請【注 6】。隨著全球網絡安全威脅的增加,如何應對海纜安全問題成爲一大挑戰,特別是防止海纜遭受自然灾害、網絡攻擊或人爲破壞,已成爲保障數據安全的首要任務【注 1】

面對競爭與挑戰,香港需要優化海纜建設的審批流程,縮短許可周期,加强與內地政府及其他國家和地區的合作。同時,應借鑒新加坡的相關經驗,完善海纜保護的法律法規,以確保海纜系統的安全性和可靠性。此外,還需營造開放、包容、公平、互利共贏的海纜産業發展環境。通過加强海纜等基礎設施建設,香港有望在數字經濟時代繼續發揮其國際金融和科創中心的核心作用。

【注 1】:中國信息通信研究院《全球海底光纜産業發展研究報告(2023年)》https://gdtx.oss-cn-shanghai.aliyuncs.com/gehongkai/PDF/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E4%BF%A1%E6%81%AF%E9%80%9A%E4%BF%A1%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E9%99%A2%E3%80%8A%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E6%B5%B7%E5%BA%95%E5%85%89%E7%BC%86%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E6%8A%A5%E5%91%8A(2023%E5%B9%B4)%E3%80%8B.pdf
【注 2】:https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2022-01/12/content_5667817.htm
【注 3】:https://app7.legco.gov.hk/rpdb/tc/uploads/2023/ISSH/ISSH07_2023_20230525_tc.pdf
【注 4】:https://www.ofca.gov.hk/tc/industry_focus/infrastructures/submarine_cables/index.html
【注 5】:https://cil.nus.edu.sg/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/PR240521_Enhancing-the-Security-of-Singapores-Submaring-Cables.pdf
【注 6】:http://www.iiss.pku.edu.cn/fj/PDF/ciss_cn/upload/docs/2020-11-02/doc_6001604291129.pdf

方鈺麟教授
港大經管學院數字經濟與創新研究所總監、創新及資訊管理學教授

陳詩沁博士
香港大學深圳研究院助理研究員

(本文同時於二零二四年十月三十日載於《FT中文網》「明德商論」專欄)