How Can Hong Kong Retailers Survive the Surge of Mainland E-commerce?

Recently, Chinese Mainland e-commerce giants Taobao, JD.com, and Pinduoduo have upped their game by incorporating Hong Kong into their free shipping zones. In the past, Hongkongers relied on transshipment consolidation to facilitate the receipt of their ordered goods. Little wonder that customers have warmly welcomed the new one-stop shopping services.


Recently, Chinese Mainland e-commerce giants Taobao, JD.com, and Pinduoduo have upped their game by incorporating Hong Kong into their free shipping zones. In the past, Hongkongers relied on transshipment consolidation to facilitate the receipt of their ordered goods. Little wonder that customers have warmly welcomed the new one-stop shopping services.

The aggressive market expansion of leading Mainland e-commerce platforms will inevitably impact Hong Kong retailers, dealing a further blow to the already lacklustre performance of local retail sales. I suggest the following three ways for local retailers to tackle the problems.

Optimizing retail marketing through data utilization

Despite the common view that Mainland e-commerce merchants’ core competitiveness lies in low prices, in my opinion, they are also head and shoulders above their Hong Kong counterparts in digitization. The Mainland retailing businesses especially value data analysis and, more often than not, have sizable in-house data analysis departments dedicated to exploring how to offer consumers better pricing, product recommendations, and enhanced services through methods including statistics, economics, and machine learning. Take Taobao for example. To pique customers’ shopping interest, its “Buy This As Well” feature analyses user behaviour in product selection and content browsing to predict additional products users may want to purchase, then makes recommendations accordingly.

Apart from e-commerce platforms, Mainland offline retailers are also actively undergoing digitalization. I have collaborated with a fresh food market in the Mainland―comparable to Hong Kong’s wet markets―on a project to refine marketplace positioning and product selection, and to target users with more personalized marketing by leveraging shopping data and regional activity insights. These digital changes can facilitate a significant boost to retail cost-benefit without incurring additional costs.

On the contrary, the corresponding performance of Hong Kong retailers has been mixed. Many of them have neither the knowledge nor interest in digitalization. Due to their reliance on traditional marketing approaches to retailing, they do not even collect user data. Even those aware of the importance of digitalization have only dabbled in data utilization. For instance, despite heavy investments in establishing online shopping platforms, some well-known brands do not perform analytics on the valuable user data generated on their platforms. Offline retailers with bonus point schemes offering shopping rewards also fail to harness the value of transaction data, leading to a huge waste of digital resources. Failure by local retailers to fully adapt to and embrace digitalization will make it difficult for them to maintain a competitive edge in the intelligent age.

Mitigating competitive pressure through differentiated positioning

It is a basic principle of economics that differentiated positioning helps to reduce competition, enabling enterprises to gain a comparative advantage. Plagued by high wages and rents, Hong Kong retailers are cost-burdened. They would not stand a chance in direct competition with Mainland e-commerce businesses. Under these circumstances, local retailers might as well consider shutting down or cutting uncompetitive product lines, and focusing on more competitive products or those unlikely to be offered by Mainland e-commerce platforms. In Hong Kong, a well-known free port, almost all products are not subject to value-added tax or consumption tax, as opposed to the case in the Mainland. However, the shop rental and staff costs in the SAR are higher, making most products not cost-competitive. The exception is a handful of high-unit-price items, such as luxury-brand goods, gold accessories, electronics, and cosmetics, which still maintain price competitiveness.

Moreover, products with a distinctive local flavour, e.g. medicinal oils or ointments, local cultural creations, biscuits, and dim sum, that are unlikely to be available in the Mainland, are naturally competitive. Hong Kong retailers should develop and select products with a unique edge to engage in differentiated competition with Mainland e-commerce, so as to maintain their own competitive strength. Take rice as a daily staple, for example. It is unlikely for local retailers to gain price competitiveness by selling rice originating from the Mainland. Nevertheless, if they switch to rice imported from Thailand or Japan, they can benefit from Hong Kong’s tax-free advantage as a free port by targeting different customer segments through differentiated competition.

Strengthening government regulations to reinforce consumer confidence

The Mainland milk scandal from over a decade ago is probably still fresh in the memory of many Hongkongers. Due to the negative impact of the Sanlu infant formula incident in 2008, Mainland Chinese lost trust in locally-produced powdered formula and flocked in droves to buy milk products in Hong Kong. This not only resulted in a severe shortage of infant formula but also prompted the SAR Government to amend the law in 2013, imposing export control on powdered milk formula. Another example is Mainland infant formula brand Morning Glory’s “No. 1 milk supplied to Hong Kong”, a label designed to create an image of being in compliance with the city’s quality standards. Press reports last year revealed that fuel tanker trucks had been used to transport cooking oil in the Mainland, driving people to cross the border into Hong Kong to purchase cooking oil. These cases demonstrate Mainland consumers’ confidence in Hong Kong’s product quality, highlighting a proven advantage for local retailers.

Still, it is noteworthy that recent years have seen the emergence of counterfeit or fake goods in Hong Kong, which has eroded public confidence in the quality of Hong Kong products. For example, not only is it frequent to see knockoff Danish butter cookies for sale in local wet markets and counterfeit designer handbags on proxy shopping platforms, but counterfeit medicines and proprietary Chinese medicines are also common. Should these counterfeit or fake goods be allowed unregulated access to the market, the reputation of Hong Kong products will be compromised. In addition, the Nongfu Spring incident in July 2024 is also a case in point. A report published by the Consumer Council found that the quality of Nongfu Spring’s bottled water marginally met European Union standards. In response to a legal letter from the company, however, the Consumer Council reclassified the bottled water sample as a new type of water and raised its rating from four and a half stars to five.

The incident undoubtedly undermined public confidence. Once Hong Kong products no longer enjoy comparative advantage and are labelled as poor quality, they will become utterly uncompetitive. Therefore, it behoves the SAR Government to establish stringent quality standards and to strengthen enforcement efforts to combat fakes, which will safeguard the quality advantage of goods. Coupled with complementary publicity campaigns by retailers, this will reassure local residents and give them ease of mind when shopping for Hong Kong products.

Keeping pace with the digital age, capitalizing on differentiation strategies, and bolstering quality confidence are all viable approaches. When implemented together, these strategies are likely to enable the Hong Kong retail industry to sustain its competitive advantage.

Translation
近期內地電商巨頭淘寶、京東、拼多多紛紛發力,將香港市場納入包郵區。過去港人需先通過中轉集運才能接收所訂貨品,相比之下,最新推出的一站式購物服務,自然大受歡迎。

無庸置疑,內地電商龍頭的搶灘行為必會影響本地零售業,讓早已低迷的銷情雪上加霜。這種趨勢下,本土零售業有什麼應對之道?筆者從以下3個角度建議業界如何破解困局。

 
善用數據優化零售營銷

按照一般看法,內地電商的核心競爭力在於價格低廉,筆者卻認為,此等企業在數字化方面,同樣遙遙領先香港零售業。內地零售業極其重視數據分析,往往設有龐大的數據分析部門,通過統計學、經濟學、機器學習等方法,研究如何更好地為消費者進行定價、產品推薦和提升服務。以淘寶為例,「順手買一件」功能就是基於用戶的選購商品和瀏覽內容等行為,判斷用戶還可能喜歡買哪種產品而作出推薦,力求提升其購買意欲。

除了電商之外,內地的線下零售業也在積極進行數字化轉型。筆者曾經與內地菜市場(類似香港街市)合作,通過用戶的購物數據和地理軌跡優化市場布局、產品選擇,以及對用戶展開更為個性化的促銷。這些數字化改變可以在成本不額外增加的前提下,大大提升零售效益。

反觀本港零售業在這方面卻不盡如人意。很多本地零售品牌不懂數字化,也無意採用,一直依循傳統的營銷思維看待零售業,甚至沒有收集用戶數據。即使認識到數字化的重要性,企業對數據的運用也往往淺嘗輒止。例如,一些知名品牌也投入巨資建立網購平台,可惜卻沒有分析平台積累的寶貴用戶數據。另外,一些線下零售商推行積分系統,給予用戶購物獎勵,但也沒有積極發掘交易數據的價值,這是對數字資源的巨大浪費。本地零售商若不能徹底適應數字化,擁抱數字化,就難望在智能時代保持競爭力。

 
差異化定位減輕競爭壓力

經濟學的一個基本原理,就是差異化定位可以減低競爭,讓企業獲得相對優勢。受制於高工資和租金,香港的零售業普遍成本較高,如果直接和內地電商打價格戰,根本毫無勝算。在這種情況下,本地零售商不妨考慮放棄或減少沒有競爭力的產品,而聚焦於旗下更有優勢或內地電商難以覆蓋的產品。眾所周知,香港是自由港,絕大多數產品沒有內地增值稅和消費稅,但舖租和員工成本較高,因此對大部分產品而言,並無價格優勢;相反,對少量單價高的貴重產品則仍有價格優勢,如大牌奢侈品、黃金飾品、電子產品、化妝品等。

此外,一些富本地特色的產品,如藥油藥膏、本土文創、餅乾點心等商品,也是內地無法提供的,因而具有天然競爭力。香港零售商應該多開發和選擇具有獨特競爭力的產品,與國內電商錯位競爭,以保自身競爭優勢。就拿天天吃到的大米來說,如果本地零售商銷售內地大米,肯定難以在價格方面佔優,但改為銷售泰國、日本出產的大米,而面向不同消費群組的錯位競爭,就可藉自由港的免稅優勢保證收益。

 
加強政府監管以鞏固品質信心

相信不少市民對十多年前內地奶粉大軍的情況依然記憶猶新。受2008年三鹿奶粉醜聞影響,內地人對國產奶粉品牌喪失信心,紛紛前往香港搶購奶粉,以致本地奶粉庫存告急,這也推動特區政府在2013年修改法例,限制奶粉出境。又如內地奶粉品牌晨光乳業旗下「供港一號牛奶」,通過標籤中「供港」字眼,打造符合香港質檢標準的形象。至於去年國內油罐車裝載食用油事件,甚至促使民眾專程南下,購買香港食用油。這些例子在在反映內地人對香港產品質量的信心,更顯示高標準的品質可以成為香港零售業的優勢。

不可不察的是,近年來本港屢有冒牌產品和假貨出現,蠶食市民大眾對香港產品的信心。例如,街市銷售丹麥藍罐曲奇假貨、代購平台賣假手袋時有發生,甚至出現冒牌藥物和中成藥。若這些假貨不受管制而得以流入市場,勢必影響香港的品質聲譽。此外,20247月亦曾引起「農夫山泉」風波:香港消費者委員會(消委會)檢測市面各款樽裝水,指出農夫山泉品質達到歐盟標準上限,卻遭農夫山泉發律師信;結果消委會將該樣本改列為獨立類別,經重新評分後整體表現由4.5星上調至5星。

上述事件無疑會消耗市民的信任,一旦香港產品的品質優勢不再,被打上低端劣質的標籤,其競爭力勢將蕩然無存。因此,特區政府務須訂立嚴謹的品質標準,並加強執法打擊假貨,維護產品的品質優勢,加上零售業配合宣傳,即可讓市民安心選購香港產品。

追上數字化時代的步伐,善用差異化策略,強化品質信心,都是可行策略。如能三管齊下,就有望維持香港零售業的持續優勢。

 

李曦教授
港大經管學院市場學教授、亞洲案例研究中心總監、數字經濟與創新研究所副總監

(本文同時於二零二五年六月四日載於《信報》「龍虎山下」專欄)