From Labubu to Chiikawa: The Sustainability of IP Economy

Just as Labubu, a hot item in short supply not long ago, is losing steam, a new darling―the Japanese anime sensation Chiikawa―is taking centre stage, bearing witness to a typical star succession in action. Trend-following consumers have struggled to get their hands on the Labubu they crave, only to find that fashion now seems to…


Just as Labubu, a hot item in short supply not long ago, is losing steam, a new darling―the Japanese anime sensation Chiikawa―is taking centre stage, bearing witness to a typical star succession in action. Trend-following consumers have struggled to get their hands on the Labubu they crave, only to find that fashion now seems to be shifting to Chiikawa. Last Saturday marked the official opening in Hong Kong of a Chiikawa ramen restaurant, the first of its kind outside Japan. Reservations at the Mong Kok diner are already fully booked for the coming weeks, testifying to the popularity of the eponymous manga series.

Both Labubu and Chiikawa are popular trendy toy intellectual properties (IPs) that offer emotional value. But which will emerge as the ultimate trendsetter? And which will have the staying power to remain in the spotlight?

Not only are consumers disoriented but investors are also clueless. On 19 June 2025, People’s Daily, China’s official newspaper, advocated for stricter regulation of blind-box cards and toys. Meanwhile, in its recently released China Strategy Report, Morgan Stanley removed Pop Mart from its China and Hong Kong Focus List. Pop Mart’s stock price fell from a high of HK$283.4 on 12 June 2025 to HK$248.6 on 20 June 2025, representing a decline of over 12% in total. On the afternoon of 18 June 2025, Pop Mart’s large-scale restocking triggered a sharp drop in second-hand product prices, with some items from the Labubu series plunging by more than 50% (see Note 1).

Is the art-toy economy like this just a flash in the pan, or is it here to stay? As for IPs from other countries―from Japan’s anime classic Doraemon to South Korea’s Line Friends products, and from Nintendo’s Super Mario series to Marvel Universe superheroes―the IP landscape is dominated by rival players, a contemporary echo of the Spring and Autumn and Warring States periods. Most of the IPs simply come and go, and will soon be forgotten.

What kind of IPs can truly endure, transcending time and space? My analysis of the Marvel Universe’s timeless appeal, published in this column last year (see Note 2), may shed some light on this. Marvel boasts a history of over eight decades since its inception in 1939, with an IP portfolio of more than 6,000 registered trademarks, including Spider-Man, X-Men, and Hulk. Their lasting global appeal stems largely from the relentless innovation within the Marvel Universe’s kingdom of heroes.

A breath of fresh air for audiences

Despite the recurring leitmotif of superhero movies, i.e. punishing villains and rooting out vice, Marvel has been able to break the mould by enlisting acclaimed directors and actors new to the genre, offering viewers a novel experience. For example, Thor: The Dark World unfolds like a Shakespearean tragedy, while Iron Man 2 is distinguished by its humorous dialogue. Captain America: The Winter Soldier plays out as a spy thriller from beginning to end, and Guardians of the Galaxy has even earned rave reviews for daring to feature oldies from the 1970s.

Such unexpected innovations on the silver screen have enabled Marvel’s IP characters to stay fresh and relevant, keeping abreast with changing times and catering to evolving consumer tastes.

A brand-new target audience

Similar to Pop Mart’s experience with official media, Marvel has likewise faced significant challenges. During the Second World War, considered the heyday of comics in America, the top five comic book publishers, including DC Comics and Marvel, primarily zeroed in on children as their target readers. However, in 1954, the industry was criticized by the US Senate that comic book content was detrimental to children’s physical and mental development. Since then, the sales of comic books have declined drastically.

To address the rebuke from the authorities and public skepticism, Marvel shifted its sales target to college students and transformed its superheroes from characters “born with superpowers” into “mere mortals who get their superpowers by accident”. This served not only to differentiate Marvel from its competitor, DC Comics, but also to tailor its publications to highly educated consumers with a more realistic mindset.

A trailblazing business approach

As the end of the 20th century brought an annual sales downturn of 20% in Marvel’s core comic book business, toy manufacturers began to question the sustainability of the company’s IPs and balked at purchasing their copyright licences. Marvel suffered a cash flow crisis and risked running out of funds at any moment. Was it possible to save the day for the company?

To rebuild the standing of its IPs, Marvel realized that traditional comics no longer matched the consumer tastes of the new generation and hence there was an urgent need to rebrand its old IPs through new media. Riding the wave of change, the company swiftly adjusted its focus to the thriving film industry, licensing its IP rights to several major studios. For example, it signed agreements for Spider-Man with Sony Pictures, X-Men with 20th Century Studios, and Hulk with Universal Studios.

Such a strategy not only enabled Marvel to stay out of cash flow troubles but also facilitated the use of films as a powerful channel for expanding the reach of its IPs, revitalizing its passé products and ultimately achieving worldwide popularity.

Drawing on others’ experiences, when we doubt if Labubu is out of fashion, we should perhaps take a leaf from the growth journey of the vintage Spider-Man IP. When we wonder if Pop Mart’s success can be replicated, the evolution of superhero movies offers an answer. And if we ask how today’s IP economy can sustain growth, Marvel’s product innovation provides inspiration.

New IPs emerge in every era, but how long can each lead the trend? Given the limitless potential of the IP economy, its future trajectory merits close attention.

Note 1: 

https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E5%AE%98%E6%96%B9%E5%A4%A7%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1%E8%A3%9C%E8%B2%A8%E5%BC%95%E7%99%BC%E4%BA%8C%E6%89%8Blabubu-%E5%83%B9%E5%B4%A9-%E6%B3%A1%E6%B3%A1%E7%91%AA%E7%89%B9%E6%97%A9%E7%9B%A4%E5%A4%A7%E8%B7%8C6-%E8%BF%91%E4%BA%94%E5%A4%A9%E8%B7%8C%E9%80%BE15-041002063.html

Note 2: “Kowloon Walled City vs Spider-Man: Business Models of Intellectual Property”, Hong Kong Economic Journal, 29 May 2024

Translation
這邊廂是曾經供不應求的Labubu逐漸降溫,那邊廂是日系卡通新寵Chiikawa風頭無兩,大有江山代有人才出的勢頭。追趕時尚的消費者好不容易買到了心心念的Labubu,卻發現潮流的風向似乎轉到了Chiikawa。上週末,日本境外的首家海外Chiikawa拉麵店更落戶香港,在旺角正式開業,未來幾星期的預約早已額滿,可見捧場者眾。

Labubu和Chiikawa都是人氣潮玩知識產權(IP),同樣提供情緒價值,哪個能引領潮流?哪個又能持久走紅?

不僅消費者暈頭轉向,投資者也無所適從。6月19日,中國官媒《人民日報》發文呼籲加強盲卡盲盒監管;加上摩根士丹利發表中國市場策略報告,將泡泡瑪特從旗下中港股市焦點股名單中剔除,泡泡瑪特股價自6月12日高點283.4港元回落至6月20日的248.6港元,累計下跌超過12%。而6月18日下午,泡泡瑪特大規模補貨,導致二手價格急速下跌,部分Labubu產品的跌幅甚至超過50%【註1】。

像這類潮玩經濟,究竟是曇花一現,還是可以長遠發展?放眼海外,從日本卡通多啦A夢到韓國LINE FRIENDS,從任天堂的超級瑪利奧系列到漫威宇宙(Marvel Universe)的超級英雄,群雄割據的IP世界如同當代春秋戰國,絕大多數IP只能短暫流行,很快就被遺忘。

怎樣的IP才能夠跨越時空,屹立不倒?筆者去年在本欄曾分析漫威宇宙的長青不老之路【註2】,足以提供一些啟示。漫威自1939年創立,至今已有80多年歷史;名下的IP包括膾炙人口的蜘蛛俠、X-Men、變形俠醫等6000多個註冊商標。這些IP人物能風靡全球,經久不息,其中一大要素在於漫威宇宙這個超級英雄帝國多年來的不斷創新。
一新受眾耳目

儘管超級英雄電影的主旋律離不開懲奸除惡,漫威往往敢於破格,起用經驗豐富卻從未涉足這類電影的名導演和演員,給觀眾帶來新鮮感。例如電影《雷神奇俠2:黑暗世界》具有莎士比亞悲劇風格,《鐵甲奇俠2以對白幽默見稱,《美國隊長2:寒冬戰士》則充滿緊張刺激的間諜元素,《星際異攻隊》更因大膽採用1970年代的歌曲而備受好評。

這些令人意想不到的新風格,讓漫威的IP人物鮮活靈動,緊貼時代的更替,迎合消費者喜好的轉變。
一改銷售目標

與泡泡瑪特受到官媒影響一樣,漫威公司也經歷過類似的挑戰。二次大戰期間,美國漫畫行業蓬勃興盛,包括DC和漫威在內的五大漫畫公司,主要銷售對象是小朋友。但業界在1954年卻遭美國參議院針對,被批評漫畫的內容有損兒童的身心發展,自此漫畫銷量直線下跌。

為了應對官方的指責和公眾的質疑,漫威改以大學生為目標客戶,並將旗下的超級英雄由「天生超能力」變為「普通人突然擁有超能力」,不僅實現了與競爭對手DC的差異化,更貼近高學歷消費者的現實口味。
一展營運新猷

20世紀末,當漫威的主營業務漫畫銷售每年下滑20%,玩具廠商質疑其IP的可持續發展,不願意購買相關授權,漫威的現金流面臨隨時乾涸的危機。如何能夠力挽狂瀾?

為了重建IP的影響力,漫威意識到傳統的漫畫難以滿足新一代消費者的喜好,老IP急需嶄新的傳播媒介,於是順應時勢,迅速瞄準電影這個欣欣向榮的行業,將IP授權賣給幾家大型電影公司,比如與索尼影業簽訂蜘蛛俠的授權協議,X-Men授權給二十世紀影業,而變形俠醫則授權給環球影業。

此一策略不僅擺脫了現金流困境,更以電影作為擴大其IP影響力的強大渠道,讓其瀕臨過氣的IP重振旗鼓,結果紅遍世界。

他山之石可以攻玉。當我們質疑Labubu是否風頭不再時,不妨參考老牌IP蜘蛛俠的成長歷程;當我們暗忖泡泡瑪特的成功能否複製時,可以從超級英雄電影的演變中找到答案;當我們思考今天的IP經濟能如何永續發展,可以在漫威公司的創新經驗中得到啟發。

江山代有IP出,各領風騷幾多時?IP經濟的威力充滿無限可能,我們拭目以待。

註1:https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E5%AE%98%E6%96%B9%E5%A4%A7%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1%E8%A3%9C%E8%B2%A8%E5%BC%95%E7%99%BC%E4%BA%8C%E6%89%8Blabubu-%E5%83%B9%E5%B4%A9-%E6%B3%A1%E6%B3%A1%E7%91%AA%E7%89%B9%E6%97%A9%E7%9B%A4%E5%A4%A7%E8%B7%8C6-%E8%BF%91%E4%BA%94%E5%A4%A9%E8%B7%8C%E9%80%BE15-041002063.html

註2:〈九龍城寨的龍捲風 漫威英雄的蜘蛛網 如何打造常青的商業IP? 〉,范亭亭,《信報》,2024年5月29日

范亭亭博士

港大經管學院市場學首席講師 

(本文同時於二零二五年八月二十日載於《信報》「龍虎山下」專欄)